The economics of a change in PM: Markets, fiscal policy and political risk

Martin Beck, Chief Economist | Economic Consulting and Analysis

Uncertainty over Labour’s leadership appears to be raising the political risk premium on UK assets. But a major leftward fiscal shift looks unlikely. Electoral pressure, bond market discipline and high borrowing would force any successor to recommit to fiscal restraint.

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Labour’s next economic reset? What a Burnham or Streeting premiership could mean for tax, spending and growth

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